Search

The Dead Cat Bounce of Investing

what is a dead cat bounce

All of our content is based on objective analysis, and the opinions are our own. In contrast, a Genuine Recovery tends to exhibit higher trading volumes and stronger momentum, indicating greater market participation and confidence. The KSS daily chart shows the breakdown through $51.32 on May 5, 2022, sending shares collapsing 41% to a low of $30.97 on May 24, 2022. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool’s premium services.

How comfortable are you with investing?

what is a dead cat bounce

These might include moving averages, price and volume patterns, and momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). On the other hand, a Genuine Recovery is accompanied by positive developments in the fundamental factors such as strong earnings growth, favorable economic conditions, or positive regulatory changes. © 2024 Market data provided is at least 10-minutes delayed and hosted by Barchart Solutions. Information is provided ‘as-is’ and solely for informational purposes, not for trading purposes or advice, and is delayed. To see all exchange delays and terms of use please see Barchart’s disclaimer. Our team has identified the five stocks that top analysts are quietly whispering promoting value for money to their clients to buy now before the broader market catches on…

MarketBeat Products

The earliest citation of the phrase cambridge phd student is winner of first bitcoin scholarship in the news media dates to December 1985 when the Singaporean and Malaysian stock markets bounced back after a hard fall during the recession of that year. Stock prices for Cisco Systems peaked at $82 per share in March 2000 before falling to $15.81 in March 2001 amid the dot-com collapse. The stock recovered to $20.44 by November 2001, only to fall to $10.48 by September 2002. Fast forward to June 2016 and Cisco traded at $28.47 per share, barely one-third of its peak price during the tech bubble in 2000. Short-term traders may attempt to profit from the small rally, and traders and investors might try to use the temporary reversal as a good opportunity to initiate a short position.

A Dead Cat Bounce is characterized by a short-term reversal in the downtrend of an asset’s price. It’s often triggered by buyers stepping in to capitalize on the perceived value after a sharp decline. A dead cat bounce in investing is a “sucker’s rally.” It can entice investors to put money into a troubled company. While a Dead Cat Bounce may initially appear as a potential market turnaround, it is crucial to distinguish it from a genuine recovery, as mistaking it can lead to financial losses. In the commodity markets, prices can experience a Dead Cat Bounce due to factors like supply-demand imbalances or geopolitical events. For instance, oil prices often exhibit this phenomenon following supply disruptions or significant demand shifts.

  1. For example, a high or low occurred previously instead of looking at the macro-environmental factors.
  2. Many stocks rebounded momentarily before continuing their downward spiral.
  3. The temporary recovery in a Dead Cat Bounce lacks the necessary strength and support to sustain a prolonged upward trend.
  4. Dead Cat Bounces often occur in bearish market conditions, where investor sentiment is negative and fear dominates.
  5. The daily candlestick chart on NVAX illustrates the peak at $236.50 on December 20, 2021, before falling 52%, forming the flag pole to an event low at $112.52 on January 6, 2022.

That said, a dead cat bounce may indicate that a temporary recovery without a tangible reason could be short-lived and a long-term rise in price isn’t on the horizon. The brief spike may also signal caution to investors about the overall market and broader economic conditions. A dead cat bounce is a short-lived recovery in the price of a declining asset just after a significant, long-term drop but right before the price continues its downward trend.

Our mission is to empower readers with the most factual and reliable financial information possible to help them make informed decisions for their individual needs. Despite criticism from some financial experts, the occurrence of Dead Cat Bounces challenges the Efficient Market Hypothesis, highlighting the impact of market psychology and irrational behavior. One of the most notable instances of a Dead Cat Bounce occurred during the Global Financial Crisis of 2008. Many stocks rebounded momentarily before continuing their downward spiral.

Dead Cat Bounce in Financial Markets

This means that traders that notice a rally after a steep decline may think it is a dead cat bounce when in reality it is a trend reversal signaling a prolonged upswing. It is considered a continuation pattern, where at first the bounce may appear to be a reversal of the prevailing trend, but it is quickly followed by a continuation of the downward price move. It becomes a dead cat bounce (and not a reversal) after the price drops below its prior low. A Dead Cat Bounce is a temporary recovery in asset prices following a significant decline. It is characterized by a brief uptrend that is preceded by a rapid decline and followed by a continuation of the downtrend. Dead Cat Bounces often occur in bearish market conditions, where investor sentiment is negative and fear dominates.

The daily candlestick chart on NVAX illustrates the peak at $236.50 on December 20, 2021, before falling 52%, forming the flag pole to an event low at $112.52 on January 6, 2022. The flag formed on the dead cat bounce by 22.3% to a peak of $137.66 on January 10, 2022. The bounce had parallel higher highs and higher lows, as indicated by the parallel upper and lower diagonal trendlines. The bear flag breakdown occurred on NVAX, which fell under the lower trendline at $131 as it resumed the downtrend to a low of $66.38 on January 24, 2022. Fundamental analysis, on the other hand, is a method of research that investors use to determine the intrinsic value, or true underlying worth, of a stock or asset. Fundamental analysis calculates this value by analyzing factors such as revenue, earnings and profit margin.

It often occurs due to short-term traders covering their positions or speculative buying, but it doesn’t indicate a reversal in the overall market sentiment. In this section, we will explore historical examples of dead cat bounces to gain a deeper understanding of how this phenomenon has manifested in various market conditions. By examining these real-world scenarios, we can uncover valuable insights and lessons that can be applied to our own trading strategies.

This leads to investors selectively choosing what information they believe as long as it supports their optimistic outlook for etoro social network trading review by fxexplained the chosen stock. Thus, they downplay the crucial negative information as rumour or unimportant. This image illustrates an example of when the overall sentiment of the market changed, and the dominant outlook became bullish again. At Finance Strategists, we partner with financial experts to ensure the accuracy of our financial content. For information pertaining to the registration status of 11 Financial, please contact the state securities regulators for those states in which 11 Financial maintains a registration filing.

Shopping Cart
×

Attention! On Wordpress is under technical work!
But we have good news, get +500% to the game, for a simple registration! Click Accept to claim your bonus!
Click Close to update page!